7th Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections
 


Factors Predictive of Durable HIV Suppression in Randomized Double-Blind Trial with Nevaripine (NVP), Zidovudine (ZDV), and Lamivudine (3TC) in Treatment-Naive (ARV-n) Patients with Advanced AIDS

R. POLLARD*. Univ. of Texas Med. Branch, Galveston

Background: In a 2256 patient international study of NVP versus placebo (PL), plasma specimens were evaluated for viral response.
Methods: Plasmas from the first 154 ARV-n patients (74 NVP and 80 PL) who used ZDV and 3TC as their only background drugs were assayed using the Amplicor ultrasensitive assay (limit of detection 50 c/mL). Analysis included response to below limit of detection (BLD) ever (nadir). at 6 months. and at 12 months. Sustained suppression was evaluated for treatment, BL HIV RNA, and CD4+ count using logistic and Cox regression models.
Results: BL plasma HIV RNA was >100,000 copies/mL for 58% of patients and >50,000 copies/mL for 75%. Using below 400 copies/mL, 36% of NVP patients achieved nadir responses below detection vs 49% of PL patients.
  
NVP+ZDV+3TC was superior to PL+ZDV+3TC in all comparisons, p<0.01. The %BLD at 12 mo with NVP+ZDV+3TC was as high in the patients with BL >500,000 c/mL as in patients with lower BL viral loads, 54%  (13/24) and 46% (23/50) respectively. Logistic and Cox regressions demonstrated treatment, BL CD4+ count (p<0.01) predicted durability of suppression, but not BL HIV RNA.
Conclusion: NVP+ZDV+3TC is effective in suppression of HIV RNA for at least 48 weeks, even in patients with advanced AIDS and high pretreatment viral loads. BL CD4+ count predicted durability of response.

Key Words: HIV RNA, Treatment, virology

 

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