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Predictors for Changes in CD4 Cell Count 7 Years after Starting HAART
Luuk Gras*1, A Van Sighem1, C Fraser2, J Griffin2, J Lange3, F Miedema4, F De Wolf1,2, and ATHENA Cohort Study Group
1HIV Monitoring Fndn, Amsterdam, The Netherlands; 2Imperial Coll, London, UK; 3Academic Med Ctr, Amsterdam, The Netherlands; and 4Univ Med Ctr, Utrecht, The Netherlands
Background: Data on
long-term changes in CD4 cell count after the start of HAART in therapy-naive
patients is limited to 4 to 5 years of follow-up. We evaluated changes in CD4
cell count in a cohort of previously therapy naive patients with 7 years of follow-up
after the start of HAART.
Methods: We
selected from the Netherlands ATHENA national observational cohort, 840 therapy-naive
HIV-1-infected patients who had started HAART between January 1997 and July
1998 and for whom 7 years of follow-up data were available. Linear regression
models were used to find predictors for changes in CD4 cell count at 7 years
after starting HAART. In a second analysis, annual changes in CD4 cell count
between 1 and 7 years after the start of HAART were compared in patients who
had used HAART for at least 6.5 years using repeated measurement models.
Results: Of the
included patients, 84%were male and 69% was of Dutch origin. Median CD4 cell
count at the start of HAART was 260 cells/mm3 (IQR
100, 400) and median HIV RNA was 4.9 log10 copies/mL (4.3, 5.4). The mean increase in CD4 cell count 7 years after
starting HAART was: 398, 392, 380, 278, and
184 cells/mm3 in those with baseline CD4 count <50, 50 to 200, 201
to 350, 351 to 500, and ≥500 cells/mm3, respectively. The proportion
of patients who spent at least 6.5 years on HAART regimens during the first 7
years after the start of HAART was significantly higher in those with lower
baseline CD4 cell count: 82%, 84%, 74%,
58%, and 58%, respectively. A lower CD4 cell count and higher HIV RNA level at
the start of HAART, Dutch origin, transmission through intravenous drug use and
a longer cumulative time on HAART were associated with greater increases in CD4
cell count after 7 years. In 505 continuously HAART-treated patients, the mean annual
CD4 cell count change declined significantly with longer follow-up and was 70 cells/mm3 between 1 and 3 years, 30 between 3 and 5, and
10 between 5 and 7 years. The mean annual change between 5 and 7 years
was significantly smaller for those with baseline CD4 cell count ≥500
cells/mm3 compared with <500 cells/mm3 (–31 vs 14 cells/mm3 for a patient aged 39 years at
the start of HAART, p = 0.001).
Conclusions: Greater CD4
cell count changes were associated with a longer cumulative time on HAART
containing regimens. Between 5 and 7 years on continuous HAART, mean CD4 cell
count continued to increase except in patients with ≥500 CD4 cells/mm3
at the start of HAART.
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