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Hospitalizations for CHD and MI among Northern California HIV+ and HIV- Men: Changes in Practice and Framingham Risk Scores
Daniel Klein*1, L Hurley2, C Quesenberry2, M Silverberg2, M Horberg2, and S Sidney2
1Kaiser Permanente, Hayward, CA, US and 2Kaiser Permanente, Oakland, CA, US
Background: Coronary heart
disease (CHD) continues to be a concern in the long-term care of HIV+
patients. As patients age and new ART become available, ongoing monitoring of
event rates, practice patterns, and risk profiles is warranted.
Methods: We continue to
monitor CHD and myocardial infarction (MI) events among HIV+ male
members of Kaiser Permanente Northern California, and among age-similar HIV
male members. Ongoing observational follow-up now extends through June 30,
2005. Age-adjusted CHD/MI rates were calculated for HIV+ and HIV
patients overall, and by protease inhibitor (PI) exposure among HIV+
patients. Changes over time in use of ART (↓ stavudine [d4T] and ↑ atazanavir
[ATV]), use of lipid-lowering therapy, blood pressure control, and smoking were
examined. Framingham 10-year CHD risk score formulas were used to estimate mean
component scores and 10-year CHD risk for 2000-2001 and 2004-2005.
Results: In 9.5 years of
observation, 5430 HIV+ people had 140 CHD events (86 MI) in 11,390 person-years
of non-PI follow-up (all time before PI start, or never PI) and 15,527 person-years
of PI follow-up (all time after PI start, median 4.3 years). We analyzed 307,000
person-years of HIV follow-up. Age-adjusted CHD/MI rates for HIV+
patients exceeded those of HIV (CHD, 6.0 vs 2.9 events/1000 person-years,
p <0.0001; MI, 3.6 vs 2.2, p = .002). Rates for pre- and
post-PI exposure continue to suggest ↑ risk with PI exposure (CHD, 4.8 vs
6.9, p = 0.09; MI, 3.0 vs 4.2, p = 0.20). Age-adjusted relative
risk (RR) for MI in 4 PI exposure duration periods was 1.0 for any exposure
<2 years (ref), 1.5 for 2 to 3.9 years, 1.8 for 4 to 5.9 years, and 1.4 for >6
years. Overall MI RR = 1.16 per year of PI exposure (95%CI 1.0, 1.4; p =
0.11). Percentage of ART-treated patients on d4T ↓ from 49% in 2001Q3 to
13% in 2005Q3 (p <0.0001); percentage of PI-treated patients on ATV ↑
from 0% in 2003Q2 to 33% in 2005Q3 (p <0.0001); percentage of
PI-treated patients on lipid-lowering therapy ↑ from 1% in 1997Q4 to 27%
in 2005Q3 (p <0.0001). Mean cholesterol, HDL, and systolic blood
pressure components of Framingham risk scores each improved from 2000-2001 to
2004-2005 (p <0.0001). Percentage of current smokers varied from 17%
to 21% to 18% in 2000-2005. Mean Framingham risk scores were reduced from 8.6%
in 2000-2001 to 8.4% in 2004-2005, despite a significant ↑ in the mean
age score component of FRS (p <0.0001).
Conclusions: CHD/MI rates are
higher among HIV+ men than HIV men and appear highest in
PI-exposed patients. The apparent initial ↑ in MI RR with ↑ PI
exposure appears interrupted after 6 years. Over the period studied, 10-year
CHD risk appears stable, despite an aging cohort. These observations are
consistent with the observed changes in ART prescribing patterns.
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