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Biological Non-invasive Tests for Prediction of Liver Fibrosis in HIV-infected Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C: ANRS CO3 Aquitaine Cohort
M A Loko1, L Castera2, F Dabis1,3, F Dabis1,3, B Le Bail4, M Winnock1, G Coureau1, Didier Neau*5, and Groupe d’Epidémiologie Clinique du SIDA en Aquitaine (GECSA)
1INSERM U593, Univ Victor Segalen, Bordeaux, France; 2Ctr Hosp Univ St Andre and Hosp Haut-Leveque, Bordeaux, France; 3CISIH, Ctr Hosp Univ Pellegrin, Bordeaux, France; 4Univ Victor Segalen, Hosp Pellegrin, Bordeaux, France; and 5Ctr Hosp Univ Pellegrin, Bordeaux, France
Background:
Liver
biopsy is still recommended to determine liver fibrosis in patients with hepatitis
C virus (HCV) infection, but is an at-risk invasive procedure. Several
non-invasive tests providing a scoring system after combination of routine
laboratory parameters have been proposed to predict liver fibrosis in HCV
monoinfected patients. There is little information on the validity of these tests
in HIV/HCV-co-infected patients.
The
aim of our study was to determine the diagnostic performance of FIB4, APRI, and
FORNS tests for the prediction of liver fibrosis in HIV/HCV-co-infected patients.
Methods: Overall, 200 HIV/HCV-co-infected patients of the
ANRS CO3 Aquitaine Cohort, who underwent liver biopsy between 1999 and 2005 and
had complete data to validate all the considered tests, were investigated. Liver
fibrosis was assessed on liver biopsy using METAVIR scoring system. Kappa’s
coefficient was used to measure the concordance between liver fibrosis (gold
standard) and non-invasive tests results. Diagnostic performance was estimated
for each test by calculating sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative
predictive values. The area under the ROC curve and the percentage of patients
correctly identified were estimated.
Results: The concordance between the liver biopsy and FIB4
was moderate (cut-off 1.45, κ = 0.40, CI 0.28 to 0.53), weak but statistically
significant (p <0.05) for all the
other tests at their respective cut-off values. APRI index showed at cut-off ≤1,
nevirapine (NPV) of 93% to predict absence of cirrhosis (F4) and at cut-off >2,
positive predictive value of 53% to predict cirrhosis. Similarly, FIB4 index
had at cut-off ≤1.45, NPV of 83% to predict absence of severe fibrosis
(F3-F4) and at cut-off >3.25, PPV of 71% to predict severe fibrosis. Applied
at these cut-offs, APRI and FIB4 classified correctly 65.5 and 56.5 of
patients, respectively. When APRI was used at cut-off ≤0.5 and >1.5,
and FORNS at cut-off ≤4.2 and >6.9, to predict absence or presence of
significant fibrosis (F2-F4), 35.5 and 19% only of patients were correctly
diagnosed, respectively.
Conclusions: In this cohort study, we confirmed that APRI (cut-off
≤1, >2) and FIB4 index, could be applied routinely to predict cirrhosis
and severe fibrosis in HIV/HCV-co-infected patients, whereas APRI (cut-off ≤0.5,
>1.5) and FORNS index had low diagnostic performances to predict significant
fibrosis in HIV/HCV-co-infected patients.
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