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Tracking Molecular Epidemiology in North Carolina, USA: The Screening and Tracing Active Transmission Model
Simon Frost*1, S McCoy2, C Hicks3, D Williams4, J Eron2, S Kosakovsky Pond1, J Sebastian5, P Leone2,4, P Leone2,4, S Fiscus2, and C Pilcher6
1Univ of California, San Diego, US; 2Univ of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, US; 3Duke Univ, Durham, NC, US; 4North Carolina Div of Publ Hlth, Raleigh, US; 5LabCorp, Reseach Triangle Park, NC, US; and 6Univ of California, San Francisco, US
Background: Since November 2002, North Carolina’s Screening and Tracing
Active Transmission (STAT) program has tested all public HIV testing clients
for acute or recent HIV infection, and has used sequencing to exclude sample
duplication, to explore epidemic structure and clustering and to survey for
transmitted drug resistance.
Methods: All HIV testing form data (demographics, risk
factors, and ZIP code of residence) are “anonymized” and maintained in the STAT
database. New HIV cases classified as acute (by RNA pooling) or recent (by
STARHS) undergo pol sequencing by
Genosure; additional sequencing used TruGene. HIV subtype was determined by
GASP (www.datamonkey.org/GASP); drug resistance interpretations were generated
using the Stanford HIV Drug Resistance Database algorithm, version 4.2.2
(hivdb.stanford.org); and calculation of distance matrices using the TN93
nucleotide distance, and phylogenetic reconstruction, was performed using HyPhy
(www.hyphy.org). Sequence clustering was analyzed using multidimensional
scaling, and exponential random graph models, controlling for the number of
edges and triangles in the network. Spatial clusters were based on inclusion of
each client’s residence in core areas defined by standardized HIV prevalence
data.
Results: Of the 231 sequences isolated from individuals
with acute or recent HIV infection between November 2002 and December 2005, 227
(98%) were subtype B, and 4 (2%) were subtype A/G recombinants. Of the 227
subtype B sequences, 25 (11%) were associated with primary drug resistance or
exhibited “revertant” mutations at position 215 in reverse transcriptase.
Overall, the sequences were distantly related (mean divergence, 5.9%), with
sequences from different spatial clusters intermingling. However, sequences
from 27 individuals (12%) occurred in 12 closely related (≤1% divergence)
clusters, comprising 9 pairs (2 of which involved drug resistant virus) and 3
triplets. Individuals from the same spatial cluster were significantly more
likely to exhibit phylogenetic clustering than those from different spatial clusters
(odds ratio 2.3, p <0.05).
Conclusions: Using a combination of testing for recent
infection, and spatial and phylogenetic sequence analysis, we have identified a
number of potential sub-epidemics within North
Carolina, including geographic clusters and a
possibly novel A/G recombinant subtype. Overall prevalence of transmitted
resistance in North Carolina may be low.
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