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Exodus and Genesis: The Emergence of HIV-1 Group M Subtype B
Michael Worobey*1, M Gilbert2, A Pitchenik3, G Wlasiuk1, and A Rambaut4
1Univ of Arizona, Tucson, US; 2Univ of Copenhagen, Denmark; 3Univ of Miami, FL, US; and 4Univ of Oxford, UK
Background: The circumstances surrounding the emergence of HIV-1 group
M, subtype B (the predominant strain of AIDS virus in Europe, Haiti, the United
States, and the rest of the Americas) remain unclear. Here we report a set of
“fossil” HIV-1 sequences that provide definitive evidence of where, when, and
how subtype B emerged.
Methods: We recovered complete HIV-1 env gene sequences from specimens collected in 1982-1983 from 5
Haitian AIDS patients, all recent immigrants to the United States who were among
the first recognized AIDS victims. We tested the hypothesis of a Haitian origin
for subtype B by conducting a detailed Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo
phylogenetic analysis, including a “relaxed” molecular clock analysis, using an
alignment of the fossil sequences plus 117 previously published subtype B env sequences from 19 different
countries.
Results: The hypothesis of a US or other non-Haitian origin of subtype
B is strongly rejected (p <0.001)
in favor of a Haitian origin (p =
0.999). HIV-1 moved from Africa to Haiti in a single patient in or around 1966 (1962-1970).
It then spread there for some years before first successfully dispersing
elsewhere. Almost all non-Haitian subtype B infections around the world can be
traced to a single migration of the virus out of Haiti in or around 1969 (1966-1972),
a key turning point in the history of the AIDS pandemic. One exception is the
subtype B epidemic in Trinidad and Tobago, which emanated from a separate,
single-patient introduction from Haiti.
Conclusions: Our findings establish Haiti as the country with the oldest
HIV/AIDS epidemic outside Sub-Saharan Africa. Because of its 40-year history,
the HIV-1 epidemic in Haiti exhibits a greater range of viral genetic diversity
than the rest of the world’s subtype B strains combined, a fact relevant to
vaccine design. The timing of the Haitian origin of the epidemic supports the
idea that the genesis of subtype B occurred with the return of 1 of the many
Haitian professionals who worked in the Congo in the 1960s. The timing of the
subsequent single-patient initiation of the United States and worldwide
epidemic shows conclusively that HIV-1 was circulating in the United States for
over a decade before the recognition of AIDS in 1981. Our results suggest that
the global spread of HIV-1 involves more inertia than previously supposed, with
major outbreaks hinging on rare, single transmission events. They also provide
compelling independent corroboration of an early 20th century M-group
ancestor.
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