1057 
Factors Associated with Survival and First Hepatic Decompensation in a Large Prospective Cohort of HIV/HCV-co-infected Patients with Liver Cirrhosis
M Lopez-Dieguez1, M Montes2, C Quereda3, M Von Wichmann4, J Berenguer5, J Pascual2, C Tural6, F Pulido7, H Esteban8, Jose Arribas*2, and GESIDA 37/03-FIPSE 36465/03 Study Group
1Hosp Clin, Barcelona, Spain; 2Hosp La Paz, Madrid, Spain; 3Hosp Ramon y Cajal, Madrid, Spain; 4Hosp Donostia, San Sebastian, Spain; 5Hosp Gregorio Maranon, Madrid, Spain; 6Hosp Germans Trials i Pujol, Badalona, Spain; 7Hosp 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain; and 8ACE, GESIDA, Madrid, Spain
Background: There are few data about factors
associated to survival and hepatic decompensation in HIV/hepatitis C virus (HCV)-co-infected
patients with liver cirrhosis.
Methods: In 331 HIV/HCV-co-infected patients with cirrhosis
we compared the association of survival (defined as time to death,
hepatocarcinoma, or liver transplant) with: age, sex, time since cirrhosis or HIV
diagnosis, alcohol use, CD4 (nadir, baseline and <100 at baseline), HIV
viremia, suppressed HIV replication, history of anti-HCV treatment, HCV
genotype, sustained viral response to anti-HCV treatment, concomitant chronic
hepatitis B, history of cirrhosis decompensation, Child-Pugh score (CPS) and HAART
(at baseline, continuous/interrupted during follow-up). For the 251 patients
without prior hepatic decompensation we analyzed variables associated with the
occurrence of first decompensation. Univariate/Multivariate Cox proportional
hazard models were used.
Results: Subjects’ characteristics were: male
78%, median age 44, median follow-up 18 months, 87% on HAART at baseline (50%
received un-interrupted HAART during follow-up), median CD4 384, 74% with
undetectable HIV RNA, median time since HIV/cirrhosis diagnosis 16/3 years, 6%
had concomitant chronic HBV, 27% HCV genotype 2/3, 30% had history or excessive
alcohol intake, 58% were receiving anti-HCV treatment (27% with sustained
virological reaction). During follow-up 62 endpoints occurred. Factors significantly
associated to decreased survival (univariate) were: male gender, alcohol abuse,
CD4 <100 (baseline), unsuppressed HIV replication (baseline), not having
received anti-HCV treatment, no sustained virological reaction to anti-HCV
treatment, history of decompensation, CPS-B and C, not receiving HAART at
baseline and non-continuous HAART during follow-up. In the multivariate
analysis 5 independent factors were associated with decreased survival: CD4 nadir
(p = 0.014; HR 1003); CPS-B (p = 0.0001; HR 10.1); CPS-C (p
= 0.0001; HR 19); unsupressed HIV replication at baseline (p = 0.045; HR
1.9) and not continuous HAART during follow-up (p = 0.001; HR 11.3). For
patients with compensated cirrhosis at baseline the only variable associated
with development of decompensation was a CPS-B (HR 7.4, p = 0.0001,
95%CI 2.5 to 22.2).
Conclusions: CPS-B and C are significantly
associated with decreased survival in HIV/HCV-co-infected patients with
cirrhosis. Maintaining HIV viral suppression and continuous HAART use are
associated with prolonged survival. CPS-B is significantly associated with the
short-term risk of first hepatic decompensation.
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