8
Morbidity and Mortality in the HAART Era
Andrew Phillips
Royal Free and Univ Coll Med Sch, Univ Coll London, UK
Background: Now that the main beneficial impact of
HAART at the population level has been described the attention of
epidemiologists in this second decade of the HAART era has turned to
quantifying and understanding the causes of the residual excess disease and
death that remains. This residual clinical burden is due to multiple factors.
Much of the remaining AIDS conditions observed can be attributed to late
diagnosis of HIV, but failure to retain in care all of those diagnosed, and chronically
poor adherence in some individuals who are retained in care are probably also
significant factors. With the recent introduction of several new antiretroviral
drugs, the exhaustion of drug options due to presence of multi-drug resistance
is probably currently responsible for a relatively low proportion of new AIDS
events and deaths. However, AIDS diseases may not be the only clinical problem
that HIV is causing. Several strands of evidence suggest HIV could impact on
the risk of an array of other serious conditions, including diseases of the
liver, kidney, cardiovascular system, and non-AIDS malignancies. The discussion
will consist of an informal review of recent published and some unpublished
literature relating to these issues, principally focusing on the evidence for
HIV being linked to the serious non-AIDS diseases outlined above. Sources of
evidence to examine this possible link include: comparison of risk of such
events between HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected people, the association between
CD4 count and risk of serious non-AIDS events, and a randomized trial of the influence
on serious non-AIDS events of reduction of HIV RNA level with ART..
Conclusions: Data from all these sources have their
limitations but taken together evidence for a link between HIV and risk of
serious non-AIDS diseases is appreciable. Possible approaches to further
reducing the clinical burden will then be outlined, including the potential
need to consider earlier ART initiation. It is important to better understand
the epidemiology of residual HIV-associated disease in the HAART era so that
suitable potential new interventions can be designed.
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