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Causes of Death in Patients Treated with ART, 1996 to 2006: Collaborative Analysis of 13 Cohort Studies
John Gill*1, M May2, C Lewden3, M Saag4, M Mugavero4, M Egger5, P Reiss6, B Ledergerber7, A Mocroft8, J Sterne2, and ART Cohort Collaboration
1Univ of Calgary, Canada; 2Univ of Bristol, UK; 3Univ Victor Segalen, Bordeaux, France; 4Univ of Alabama at Birmingham, US; 5Univ of Bern, Switzerland; 6Univ of Amsterdam, The Netherlands; 7Univ Hosp Zurich, Switzerland; and 8Royal Free and Univ Coll Med Sch, London, UK
Background: An increasing proportion of deaths in
patients on ART are from causes not classified as AIDS-related.
Methods: Data were combined from 13 cohort studies
in Europe and North America (ART Cohort Collaboration). We reviewed available
information (International Classification of Disease codes, characteristics at
the time of death) on 1876 deaths among 39,272 patients aged >15 years, who
started triple ART during 1996 to 2006. Causes were classified ≥2
reviewers according to the CoDe classification, with disagreements resolved
after discussion.
Results: The table shows specific causes that could
be assigned for 1597 (85%) deaths. AIDS deaths (46% infection, 30% malignancy,
24% unspecified) accounted for 63% of deaths in the first year of ART, and 43%
thereafter. The table also shows hazard ratios (HR) (adjusted for sex, age,
viral load, AIDS, year of starting ART, and cohort) comparing those with lower
with higher baseline CD4 and patients infected via injection drug use (IDU)
with others. Median baseline CD4 was 217 cells/mL
(IQR 94 to 343) in survivors and 110 (33 to 247) in those who died. Median time
to death was 1.8 (0.6 to 3.8) years. In addition to AIDS, non-AIDS malignancy
and renal failure appeared associated with immunodeficiency at baseline. Rates
of non-AIDS infection, liver-related, non-AIDS malignancy, violence, heart or
vascular and respiratory deaths were markedly elevated in patients infected via
IDU. Rates of liver-related death declined (p = 0.03) with year of
starting ART: 0.83 (95%CI 0.59 to 1.16) per 1000 years in 1996 to 1997
declining to 0.42 (0.14 to 1.32) in 2004 to 2006. Overall mortality rates
increased with age, with very strong associations of older age with non-AIDS
malignancy and cardiovascular disease death.
|
|
No (%) deaths
|
HR CD4 (<100 vs >350 cells/mm3)
|
HR IDU vs non-IDU
|
|
AIDS
|
791 (50)
|
4.07 (3.015.50)
|
1.60 (1.321.93)
|
|
Non-AIDS malignancy
|
189 (12)
|
1.68 (1.062.66)
|
2.53 (1.713.75)
|
|
Non-AIDS infection
|
128 (8.0)
|
1.44 (0.802.59)
|
3.67 (2.435.56)
|
|
Violence
|
124 (7.8)
|
0.47 (0.260.85)
|
3.68 (2.475.47)
|
|
Hepatitis/liver failure
|
113 (7.1)
|
1.36 (0.762.45)
|
6.33 (4.229.50)
|
|
Myocardial infarction
/ischemia heart disease/stroke
|
76 (4.8)
|
1.34 (0.652.80)
|
1.59 (0.813.15)
|
|
Other heart/vascular
|
56 (3.5)
|
1.61 (0.703.69)
|
3.84 (2.097.08)
|
|
Renal failure
|
24 (1.5)
|
10.8 (1.3189.0)
|
1.26 (0.364.45)
|
|
Respiratory disease
|
22 (1.4)
|
1.96 (0.399.87)
|
5.20 (2.0313.3)
|
|
Other causes (<20 deaths)
|
74 (4.6)
|
3.74 (1.618.70)
|
2.22 (1.243.98)
|
Conclusions: To achieve further declines in
mortality rates among patients treated with ART, causes of non-AIDS death must
be addressed. Such causes are of particular importance in patients infected via
IDU.
|