294 
Phylodynamic Analysis of Non-B HIV in the United Kingdom Reveals Substantial Post-immigration Transmission but Longer Intervals between Transmissions than for Subtype B
G Hughes1, Andrew Leigh Brown*1, J Bollback1, A Rambaut1, E Fearnhill2, D Dunn2, and UK Collaborative Group on HIV Drug Resistance
1Univ of Edinburgh, UK and 2Med Res Council, London, UK
Background: Non-B HIV subtypes have been associated with
heterosexual transmission since the onset of the UK epidemic. By 2000, due to
increasing immigration from Sub-Saharan Africa, non-B subtypes represented more
than 75% of heterosexual infections and a UK origin was indicated in only 10%
of these. We analyzed cases of subtype A and C infection from a high-density
sample (25,631 patients) of the entire UK HIV-infected population using
recently developed techniques in phylogenetics to infer the pattern and dates
of transmission in this group.
Methods: Partial pol sequences from 11,071 UK patients with non-B subtypes (including 6096 subtype C and 1581 subtype A) were collected
during routine clinical treatment. Genetic distance was used to select the
subset of patients with a close link (<4.5%) to at least one other
individual. Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo phylogenetics was used to define
clusters, which were analyzed individually using a relaxed molecular clock in BEAST.
Transmission dates were estimated as the most recent common ancestor of
sequences found in different patients.
Results: Of the total, 1372 (23%) subtype C-infected and
367 (23%) subtype A-infected patients showed a direct link to at least 1 other sequence.
Transmission dates from time-scaled trees showed that 80% of transmissions have
occurred since 1995 and 50% since 2000. Minimum transmission intervals were
also estimated, for which the median was 27 months. This was much longer than
previously described for subtype B sequences among men who have sex with men (MSM)
in the United Kingdom (median 14 months). Only 1% of non-B transmissions
occurred within 6 months of infection compared with 25% for subtype B. Mean CD4
count at treatment did not differ significantly between subtype A (219 cells/µL)
and B (228 cells/µL) and was not greatly lower for subtype C at 205 cells/µL,
so the difference was not due to earlier treatment among MSM. However, only 85
C, (6%) and 53 A strains (14%) were in UK-based clusters with more than 10
individuals (vs 25% for subtype B).
Conclusions: Phylodynamic analysis identified a large number
of non-B subtype transmissions involving UK sequences since 2000, suggesting
many to have occurred within the United Kingdom. However the numbers in large
clusters is lower and the inter-transmission interval for non-B subtype strains
(predominantly found in heterosexuals) is much longer than for subtype B in MSM
suggesting the epidemics have very different transmission dynamics.
|